Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for OTTO-16 in Nicaragua, Costa Rica from 21 Nov 2016 09:00 UTC to 25 Nov 2016 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OTTO-16

in Nicaragua, Costa Rica

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OTTO-16 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Exposed population	60 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	176 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (24 Nov 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Nicaragua)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	102 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	176 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.4 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	21 Nov 2016 09:00	120	---	No people	Costa Rica, Nicaragua
2	21 Nov 2016 15:00	120	---	No people	Costa Rica, Nicaragua
3	21 Nov 2016 18:00	130	---	No people	Costa Rica, Nicaragua
4	21 Nov 2016 21:00	130	---	No people	Costa Rica, Nicaragua
5	22 Nov 2016 03:00	130	---	180 thousand	Nicaragua, Costa Rica
6	22 Nov 2016 09:00	130	1.8 million	130 thousand	Costa Rica, Nicaragua
7	22 Nov 2016 15:00	148	5 million	440 thousand	Costa Rica, Nicaragua
8	22 Nov 2016 21:00	130	5 million	260 thousand	Costa Rica, Nicaragua
9	23 Nov 2016 03:00	139	2.7 million	80 thousand	Nicaragua, Costa Rica
10	23 Nov 2016 09:00	130	1.6 million	90 thousand	Nicaragua, Costa Rica
11	23 Nov 2016 15:00	120	1.9 million	70 thousand	Nicaragua, Costa Rica
12	23 Nov 2016 21:00	120	1.6 million	110 thousand	Nicaragua, Costa Rica
13	24 Nov 2016 03:00	148	1.9 million	90 thousand	Nicaragua, Costa Rica
14	24 Nov 2016 09:00	139	1.2 million	150 thousand	Nicaragua, Costa Rica
15	24 Nov 2016 15:00	176	2.4 million	60 thousand	Costa Rica, Nicaragua
16	24 Nov 2016 21:00	157	2.3 million	220 thousand	Nicaragua, Costa Rica
17	25 Nov 2016 03:00	111	2.4 million	160 thousand	Costa Rica, Nicaragua
18	25 Nov 2016 09:00	93	2.4 million	160 thousand	Costa Rica, Nicaragua
19	25 Nov 2016 15:00	102	2.4 million	160 thousand	Costa Rica, Nicaragua

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	21 Nov 2016 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	11.5, -79.4
2	21 Nov 2016 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	11.5, -79.3
3	21 Nov 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	11.5, -79.3
4	21 Nov 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	11.3, -79.2
5	22 Nov 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	10.9, -79.1
6	22 Nov 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	10.7, -79
7	22 Nov 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	15000 people	10.4, -79.2	Panama
8	22 Nov 2016 21:00	Category 1	120	no people	6600 people	10.5, -79.6	Panama
9	23 Nov 2016 03:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	10.7, -79.8
10	23 Nov 2016 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	10.9, -80.4
11	23 Nov 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	11.1, -80.7
12	23 Nov 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	11.2, -81.3
13	24 Nov 2016 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	140000 people	11.2, -82.2	Costa Rica
14	24 Nov 2016 09:00	Category 1	139	2000 people	360000 people	11.2, -82.9	Nicaragua
15	24 Nov 2016 15:00	Category 2	176	57000 people	2.1 million people	11, -83.4	Costa Rica
16	24 Nov 2016 21:00	Category 2	157	210000 people	2 million people	11, -84.3	Nicaragua
17	25 Nov 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	740000 people	10.9, -85.6	Costa Rica
18	25 Nov 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	10.5, -86.9
19	25 Nov 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	10.3, -88.2
19	26 Nov 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	10, -90.1
19	26 Nov 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	9.5, -93
19	27 Nov 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	9.3, -96.2
19	27 Nov 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	9.2, -99.5
19	28 Nov 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	9.7, -105
19	29 Nov 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	11, -107.5
19	30 Nov 2016 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	13, -108

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Nicaragua
Costa Rica
Panama

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Carazo	Nicaragua
Guanacaste	Costa Rica
Rivas	Nicaragua
Granada	Nicaragua
Alajuela	Costa Rica
Chontales	Nicaragua
Puntarenas	Costa Rica
Rio San Juan	Nicaragua
San Jose	Costa Rica
Zelaya	Nicaragua
Heredia	Costa Rica
Cartago	Costa Rica
Limon	Costa Rica
Colon	Panama
Panama	Panama
San Blas	Panama

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Sardinal	Guanacaste	Costa Rica	City	3300 people
Santa Cruz	Guanacaste	Costa Rica	City	12000 people
Nicoya	Guanacaste	Costa Rica	City	15000 people
Liberia	Guanacaste	Costa Rica	City	45000 people
Cañas	Guanacaste	Costa Rica	City	17000 people
Puntarenas	Puntarenas	Costa Rica	City	35000 people
Quesada	Alajuela	Costa Rica	City	27000 people
Alajuela	Alajuela	Costa Rica	City	47000 people
Siquirres	Limón	Costa Rica	City	18000 people
El Porvenir	Colón	Panama	Major city	<1000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Cabo Velas		10				0
Flamingo	FMG	unknown				0
Nosara	NOB	10	Civ.	Paved	No	3200
Santa Cruz Guanacaste	SZC	unknown				0
Liberia International	LIR	70	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9000
La Flor		55	Civ.	Paved	No	3100
Nicoya Guanacaste	NCT	unknown				0
Nicoya		120				0
Playa Samara	PLD	unknown				0
Tamarindo	TNO	unknown				0
Las Canas	LCS	unknown				0
Upala	UPL	56				0
Chacarita		2	Civ.	Paved	No	4900
San Carlos	NCR	50				0
Los Chiles	LSL	35	Civ.	Paved	No	4200
Nueva Guinea	NVG	210				0
Rio Frio	RFR	unknown				0
Guapiles	GPL	269	Civ.	Paved	No	3600
San Pedro		64				0
Santa Clara de Guapiles		80	Civ.	Paved	No	3100
Santa Maria de Guacimo		10	Civ.	Paved	No	3200
Barra Del Colorado		3	Civ.	Paved	No	3200
Tortuquero	TTQ	unknown				0
San Alberto		27	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3200
El Carmen		18	Civ.	Paved	No	3200
Bluefields	BEF	26	Civ.	Paved	No	6000
Mandinga		5				0
San Blas	NBL	unknown				0
El Porvenir	PVE	unknown				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
San Juan Del Sur	NISJS	Nicaragua
Puntarenas	CRPAS	Costa Rica
San Juan Del Norte		Nicaragua
Punta Gorda		Nicaragua
El Bluff		Nicaragua
Corn Island		Nicaragua
Puerto Bello		Panama

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
Arenal	Arenal	Arenal	1978

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in America, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 24 Nov 2016 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (41 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 23 of 26 Nov 2016 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	24 Nov 2016 17:00	America	Nicaragua	0.8
	24 Nov 2016 17:00	Buena Vista	Nicaragua	0.7
	24 Nov 2016 17:00	Fruta de Pan	Nicaragua	0.7
	24 Nov 2016 18:00	Amerisco	Nicaragua	0.7
	24 Nov 2016 18:00	Barra del Rio Maiz	Nicaragua	0.6
	24 Nov 2016 18:00	Barra Punta Gorda	Nicaragua	0.4
	24 Nov 2016 18:00	Monkey Point	Nicaragua	0.3
	24 Nov 2016 18:00	El Bluff	Nicaragua	0.3
	24 Nov 2016 18:00	Kukra Hill	Nicaragua	0.2
	25 Nov 2016 03:00	Nacascolo	Costa Rica	0.2
	25 Nov 2016 03:00	Panama	Costa Rica	0.2
	25 Nov 2016 03:00	Iguanita	Costa Rica	0.2
	25 Nov 2016 02:00	Hacienda Murcielago	Costa Rica	0.2
	24 Nov 2016 17:00	Haulover	Nicaragua	0.2
	24 Nov 2016 17:00	Laguna de Perlas	Nicaragua	0.2
	24 Nov 2016 16:00	Barra	Costa Rica	0.2
	24 Nov 2016 16:00	Colorado	Costa Rica	0.2
	24 Nov 2016 11:00	Tasbapauni	Nicaragua	0.2
	24 Nov 2016 11:00	Set Net	Nicaragua	0.2
	25 Nov 2016 03:00	Cacao	Costa Rica	0.2
	25 Nov 2016 02:00	Puerto Soleo	Costa Rica	0.2
	25 Nov 2016 04:00	Coco	Costa Rica	0.2
	25 Nov 2016 04:00	Potrero	Costa Rica	0.2
	25 Nov 2016 04:00	Matapalo	Costa Rica	0.2
	25 Nov 2016 04:00	Plazuela	Costa Rica	0.2
	25 Nov 2016 03:00	Hacienda Santa Elena	Costa Rica	0.1
	25 Nov 2016 02:00	El Jobo	Costa Rica	0.1
	24 Nov 2016 09:00	Barra de Rio Grande	Nicaragua	0.1
	25 Nov 2016 04:00	Brasilito	Costa Rica	0.1
	24 Nov 2016 11:00	Sandy Bay Sirpi	Nicaragua	0.1
	24 Nov 2016 17:00	Corn Island	Nicaragua	0.1
	25 Nov 2016 04:00	Refundores	Costa Rica	0.1
	24 Nov 2016 10:00	Wankluma	Nicaragua	0.1
	24 Nov 2016 04:00	Ninayeri	Nicaragua	0.1
	24 Nov 2016 04:00	Ledakura	Nicaragua	0.1
	24 Nov 2016 04:00	Graytown	Nicaragua	0.1
	24 Nov 2016 04:00	Awastara	Nicaragua	0.1
	25 Nov 2016 04:00	Santa Rosa	Costa Rica	0.1
	25 Nov 2016 05:00	Pinilla	Costa Rica	0.1
	25 Nov 2016 03:00	Murcielago	Costa Rica	0.1
	24 Nov 2016 10:00	Puerto Isabel	Nicaragua	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.